Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Expectation of strong support from GoI
The ratings continue to factor in the expectation of strong government support, both on an ongoing basis, and in the event of distress. This is because GoI is a majority shareholder in public sector banks (PSBs) and the guardian of India's financial system. While the shareholding of GoI declined to 62.93% as on June 30, 2022 from 78.55% as on September 30, 2020 post the Rs 2000 crore qualified institutional placement (QIP) in December 2020 and Rs 2,500 crore QIP in August 2021, it remains the majority shareholder. Stability of the banking sector is of prime importance to the government given its criticality to the economy, strong public perception of sovereign backing for PSBs and severe implications of any PSB failure in terms of political fallout, systemic stability and investor confidence. The majority ownership creates a moral obligation on GoI to support PSBs, including Canara Bank.
As a part of the Indradhanush framework, the government had pledged to infuse at least Rs 70,000 crore in PSBs over fiscals 2015-2019, of which Rs 25,000 crore each was infused in fiscals 2016 and 2017. Furthermore, in October 2017, the government had outlined a recapitalisation package of Rs 2.11 lakh crore over fiscals 2018 and 2019; Canara Bank and eSyndicate Bank (erstwhile Syndicate Bank) combined received Rs 7,704 crore and Rs 3,963 crore, respectively, in fiscals 2018 and 2019 under this package. Also, GoI allocated Rs 70,000 crore in fiscal 2020, of which Rs 6,571 crore was received. Thus, over the past three fiscals, GoI has infused around Rs 18,238 crore into the combined entity.
The bank had a networth of Rs 50,681 crore as on June 30, 2022 (Rs 66,111 crore as on March 31, 2022), also supported by Rs 2,000 crore equity raised by the bank via QIP during fiscal 2021 and Rs 2,500 crore equity raised in fiscal 2022. CET1, Tier-I capital adequacy ratio (CAR) and overall CAR stood at 10.5%, 12.1% and 14.9%, respectively, on June 30, 2022 (10.3%, 11.9% and 14.9%, respectively, as on March 31, 2022).
Canara Bank is one of India's larger PSBs, with total advances and deposits of Rs 7.83 lakh crore and Rs 11.18 lakh crore, respectively, as on June 30, 2022. The merger of eSyndicate Bank has also strengthened the market position of the bank. It had a market share of more than 6% in advances and deposits as on June 30, 2022. It has a pan-India branch presence, with around 9,732 domestic branches and 10,802 automated teller machines (ATMs) across the country on the same date. It also has overseas branches at three locations. Revenue is diversified across businesses, products and geographies, augmenting the strong overall market position. The bank has a robust franchise in the large and mid-size corporate banking segments.
Weakness:
- Modest, albeit improving, asset quality and earnings profile
The asset quality of the bank, with gross non-performing assets (NPAs) of 6.98% as on June 30, 2022 (7.51% as on March 31, 2022 and 8.93% as on March 31, 2021) remains modest, albeit with an improving trend. Slippages for the bank were high, at Rs 24,107 crore during fiscal 2020 and Rs 27,072 crore during fiscal 2019. These were primarily from the bank’s large corporate exposure to companies in vulnerable sectors, such as iron and steel, infrastructure and construction and finance. Its micro and small enterprises exposure has also experienced elevated levels of stress. The slippages were lower for fiscal 2021 at Rs 17,885 crore and further reduced to Rs 12,707 crore for fiscal 2022. Slippages for the first quarter of fiscal 2023 were Rs 3,949 crore. The reduced slippages and hence the asset quality has also been supported by various schemes launched by the GoI and RBI, such as Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme, which has benefitted the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs). The restructuring schemes have also benefitted the reported NPA metrics. Canara Bank had restructured portfolio of around 2.6% of its advances as on March 31, 2022.
The traction in the slippages, especially in the current challenging macro environment, will continue to be monitored. Nevertheless, with the bank’s focus on recoveries, also supported by recoveries through the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code route, gross NPAs have seen an improving trend. Gross NPAs from the corporate segment stood at around 8.9%, followed by MSMEs (11.0%), agriculture (4.6%) and retail (1.4%) as on June 30, 2022.
While the earnings profile of the bank has been impacted over the last few years primarily because of high credit costs, the same has also seen an improvement since fiscal 2021. As against substantial losses incurred over the last couple of years (loss of Rs 5839 crore reported for fiscal 2020), the bank reported profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 2,558 crore during fiscal 2021; Rs 5678 crore for fiscal 2022 and Rs 2022 crore in the first quarter of fiscal 2023. Nevertheless, the earnings profile remains modest, constrained by the lower proportion of current account savings account deposits impacting net interest margin and the pre-provisioning operating profit of the bank. Further, the provisioning coverage ratio (excluding technical write-offs) while increased substantially to 66.2% as on June 30, 2022 (66.5% as on March 31, 2022, and 56.2% as on March 31, 2020) remains moderate.
Nevertheless, CRISIL Ratings will continue to monitor the traction in asset quality and its consequent impact on profitability, given the challenging macro environment.